Abstract
This research analyzes daily extreme events of minimum, maximum and rainfall temperatures in the Metropolitan District of Quito using data with more than 30 years of the meteorological network of INAMHI (National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology of Ecuador), and using the R-ClimDex program. Scenarios for the year 2032 are presented by combining statistical results of extreme events with the physical forcing of the A2 and B2 scenarios of the PRECIS A2 and B2 climate change model, and using the theory of extreme values of the extReme program. The results showed an increase in the minimum and maximum monthly temperature values in both magnitude and frequency, as well as an increase in the intensity of extreme rainfall. Projections for 2032 maintain this behavior, with results that should be taken into account by decision makers and scientists due to the danger they pose to Quito's ecosystem.
| Translated title of the contribution | Rainfall and Extreme Temperature Projections in Climate Change Scenarios over Quito, Ecuador |
|---|---|
| Original language | Spanish (Ecuador) |
| Pages (from-to) | 16-32 |
| Number of pages | 17 |
| Journal | La Granja |
| Volume | 25 |
| Issue number | 25 |
| State | Published - 1 Jun 2017 |
Keywords
- Climate change scenarios
- Extreme values
- Metropolitan District of Quito
- Precipitation
- Temperature
CACES Knowledge Areas
- 125A Environment