Índice de Seguridad Energética del Ecuador: Un Enfoque de Dinámica de Sistemas

Fran Zhovani Reinoso Avecillas; Nelson Gustavo Jara Cobos; Cesar Nieto; Luciano Gallón; Fernando Andres Vivar Bravo

Índice de Seguridad Energética del Ecuador: Un Enfoque de Dinámica de Sistemas

Translated title of the contribution: Ecuador's Energy Security Index: A System Dynamics Approach

Fran Zhovani Reinoso Avecillas, Nelson Gustavo Jara Cobos, Cesar Nieto, Luciano Gallón, Fernando Andres Vivar Bravo

Research output: Contribution to conference › Paper

Abstract

This paper presents the results of the long - term analysis of the energy security index (ESI) of Ecuador's electric energy production system using the methodology of System Dynamics. Building on the structure proposed by the World Energy Council (WEC); a model is built to simulate the main energy security indicators such as security of supply, resilience and access to electricity. The results of the simulation show that by 2050; in an optimistic scenario, the energy security index will reach a value of 0.73, representing an increase of 10.4% over the value of the current scenario.

Translated title of the contribution	Ecuador's Energy Security Index: A System Dynamics Approach
Original language	Spanish (Ecuador)
State	Published - 1 Aug 2019
Event	V Congreso Internacional de Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación para la Sociedad (CITIS 2018-2019) - EC Duration: 6 Feb 2019 → 8 Feb 2019 https://citis.blog.ups.edu.ec/8000-2

Conference

Conference	V Congreso Internacional de Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación para la Sociedad (CITIS 2018-2019)
Period	6/02/19 → 8/02/19
Internet address	https://citis.blog.ups.edu.ec/8000-2

Keywords

Ecuador.
Electric power generation
Energy security index
System dynamics

Cite this

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title = "{\'I}ndice de Seguridad Energ{\'e}tica del Ecuador: Un Enfoque de Din{\'a}mica de Sistemas",

abstract = "This paper presents the results of the long - term analysis of the energy security index (ESI) of Ecuador's electric energy production system using the methodology of System Dynamics. Building on the structure proposed by the World Energy Council (WEC); a model is built to simulate the main energy security indicators such as security of supply, resilience and access to electricity. The results of the simulation show that by 2050; in an optimistic scenario, the energy security index will reach a value of 0.73, representing an increase of 10.4% over the value of the current scenario.",

keywords = "Ecuador., Electric power generation, Energy security index, System dynamics, Ecuador., Electric power generation, Energy security index, System dynamics",

author = "{Reinoso Avecillas}, {Fran Zhovani} and {Jara Cobos}, {Nelson Gustavo} and Cesar Nieto and Luciano Gall{\'o}n and {Vivar Bravo}, {Fernando Andres}",

year = "2019",

month = aug,

day = "1",

language = "Espa{\~n}ol (Ecuador)",

note = "V Congreso Internacional de Ciencia, Tecnolog{\'i}a e Innovaci{\'o}n para la Sociedad (CITIS 2018-2019) ; Conference date: 06-02-2019 Through 08-02-2019",

url = "https://citis.blog.ups.edu.ec/8000-2",

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TY - CONF

T1 - Índice de Seguridad Energética del Ecuador: Un Enfoque de Dinámica de Sistemas

AU - Reinoso Avecillas, Fran Zhovani

AU - Jara Cobos, Nelson Gustavo

AU - Nieto, Cesar

AU - Gallón, Luciano

AU - Vivar Bravo, Fernando Andres

PY - 2019/8/1

Y1 - 2019/8/1

N2 - This paper presents the results of the long - term analysis of the energy security index (ESI) of Ecuador's electric energy production system using the methodology of System Dynamics. Building on the structure proposed by the World Energy Council (WEC); a model is built to simulate the main energy security indicators such as security of supply, resilience and access to electricity. The results of the simulation show that by 2050; in an optimistic scenario, the energy security index will reach a value of 0.73, representing an increase of 10.4% over the value of the current scenario.

AB - This paper presents the results of the long - term analysis of the energy security index (ESI) of Ecuador's electric energy production system using the methodology of System Dynamics. Building on the structure proposed by the World Energy Council (WEC); a model is built to simulate the main energy security indicators such as security of supply, resilience and access to electricity. The results of the simulation show that by 2050; in an optimistic scenario, the energy security index will reach a value of 0.73, representing an increase of 10.4% over the value of the current scenario.

KW - Ecuador.

KW - Electric power generation

KW - Energy security index

KW - System dynamics

KW - Ecuador.

KW - Electric power generation

KW - Energy security index

KW - System dynamics

UR - https://citis.blog.ups.edu.ec/8000-2,https://www.researchgate.net/publication/336196575_Ecuador's_energy_security_index_A_Systems_Dynamics_approach_-_Indice_de_seguridad_energetica_del_Ecuador_un_enfoque_de_Dinamica_de_Sistemas

M3 - Documento

T2 - V Congreso Internacional de Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación para la Sociedad (CITIS 2018-2019)

Y2 - 6 February 2019 through 8 February 2019

ER -

Índice de Seguridad Energética del Ecuador: Un Enfoque de Dinámica de Sistemas

Abstract

Conference

Keywords

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