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Advanced Cluster-Based Load Forecasting and Peak Demand Management for Electric Vehicle Charging Networks

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The rapid adoption of Electric Vehicles (EVs) necessitates advanced solutions for flexible charging (FC) systems to meet diverse user needs and optimize grid efficiency. This study introduces a data-driven, cluster-based load forecasting framework using machine learning techniques. Charging sessions are categorized into residential, workspace, and instantaneous station clusters via HDBSCAN and Elbow methods. Regression models, including Random Forest, SVM, and Logistic Regression, are applied to forecast load demand, with refined datasets and feature engineering techniques.The proposed methodology, implemented in Python and MATLAB, integrates a Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) for peak demand curtailment, demonstrating scalability for 1000 EVs. Results highlight significant improvements in load prediction accuracy, operational efficiency, and demand response outcomes. This integrated framework provides a scalable, adaptable, and efficient solution for EV charging systems, aligning with future energy management needs.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)105664-105677
Number of pages14
JournalIEEE Access
Volume13
DOIs
StatePublished - 2025

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2013 IEEE.

Keywords

  • Electric vehicle
  • grid stability
  • load forecasting
  • load management
  • machine learning
  • predictive modeling
  • regression model
  • sustainable energy systems

CACES Knowledge Areas

  • 317A Electricity and Energy

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