Projects per year
Personal profile
Research Interests
The body of work presented consolidates a multidisciplinary focus at the intersection of Artificial Intelligence, Finance, and Governance within the Ecuadorian context. Across applied AI for forecasting sales and bankruptcy risk, the author investigates how machine learning (notably Random Forest) and financial indicators can illuminate market segments, profitability, and credit risk for manufacturing firms and SMEs during and after the Covid-19 era. Several studies analyze financial performance, liquidity, and non-performing loans, linking them to macro shocks and policy responses, while also addressing corporate reputation and governance. Methodologically, the research employs quantitative modeling (Altman Z-Score, regression-like correlations, Spearman links) on official financial statements and public registries, and situates findings within practical implications for managers, policymakers, and investors. The overarching impact is to equip firms and regulators with data-driven insights to improve decision-making, resilience, and well-being of stakeholders in a developing economy, with a recurring emphasis on measurement, benchmarks, and the systemic effects of the pandemic on financial health and governance frameworks. This synthesis reveals a coherent theme: leveraging AI and econometric methods to interpret financial performance, risk, and governance to foster sustainable growth and happiness in workplaces and communities.
Key Topics:
- Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning & Data Science
- Business, Economics, SMEs, Finance & Entrepreneurship
- Optimization, Operations Research & Decision Support
- Standards, Validation, Benchmarks & Measurement Best-Practice
- Governance, Law, Policy, Ethics & Regulation
- Social Sciences, Media, Political Communication & Disinformation
- Research Methods, Measurement, Bibliometrics & Academic Practice
Expertise related to UN Sustainable Development Goals
In 2015, UN member states agreed to 17 global Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to end poverty, protect the planet and ensure prosperity for all. This person’s work contributes towards the following SDG(s):
Fingerprint
- 1 Similar Profiles
Collaborations and top research areas from the last five years
-
Financial and Macroeconomic Factors Affecting the Stock Market Performance of Latin American Companies
Piedra Mendez, A. F. (Col), Guevara Segarra, M. F. (Col), Buele Nugra, I. G. (PI) & Alvarez Pinos, D. S. (Col)
30/01/25 → …
Project: Research and Development
-
Assessment of Quality, Occupational Risks and Environmental Impacts of Small and Medium Manufacturing Enterprises in the City of Cuenca
Ortiz Santacruz, S. O. (PI), Ñauta Ñauta, A. E. (Col), Buele Nugra, I. G. (Col), Guaman Leon, R. P. (Col), Velecela Rojas, S. J. (Col), Araujo Jaramillo, L. E. (Student) & Ortiz Idrovo, M. C. (Student)
26/09/24 → …
Project: Research and Development
-
Artificial Intelligence and Neuroscience in the Analysis of Ecuadorian Business Management
Cuesta Astudillo, F. L. (PI), Villa Parra, A. C. (Col), Buele Nugra, I. G. (Col), Marin Neira, D. M. (Student), Coral Pesantez, L. E. (Col), Paredes Andaluz, C. C. (Student), Muzha Iñaguazo, C. M. (Student), Llivicota Patiño, K. P. (Student) & Mocha Guaillas, D. E. (Col)
26/09/24 → …
Project: Research and Development
-
The Legislative Power in the Countries that Make up the CAN: Characteristics and its Efficiency in Spending 2015-2021
Cuesta Astudillo, F. L. (Col), Buele Nugra, I. G. (Col), Arce Bau, D. C. (Col), Garcia Bacuilima, J. L. (PI) & Arpi Suin, S. M. (Student)
11/04/22 → 12/08/22
Project: Research and Development
-
Impact of Coronavirus on MSMEs
Solano Gallegos, A. S. (Col), Salinas Vasquez, J. V. (Col), Tobar Pesantez, L. B. (PI) & Buele Nugra, I. G. (Col)
4/03/21 → 6/10/22
Project: Research and Development
-
Risk in the Health and Wellbeing of Ecuadorians: Predicting Alcohol Consumption Based on Lifestyle, Using Machine Learning
Cuesta-Astudillo, F., Buele-Nugra, I. & Pesántez, L. B. T., 21 Aug 2025, A Journey towards Happiness Management as a leitmotiv for well-being, social marketing and business success. Peter Lang Publishing Group, p. 227-237 11 p.Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter › peer-review
-
Análisis de la Cartera Vencida de las Principales Instituciones Financieras del Ecuador en Época de Pandemia Covid 19
Romero Bury, R. A. & Buele Nugra, I. G., 22 Nov 2024.Translated title of the contribution :Analysis of the Delinquent Portfolio of the Main Financial Institutions in Ecuador during the Covid-19 Pandemic Research output: Contribution to conference › Paper
-
Audit Reports as a Criterion for Foreign Direct Investment in Manufacturing Industries Period 2013-2019
Cuesta Astudillo, F. L., Buele Nugra, I. G., Quezada Vanegas, S. M. & Erazo Garzon, J. F., 30 Jun 2024, In: Revista Pensamento Contemporâneo em Administração. 18, 18, p. 48-58 11 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
-
Ecuadorian Manufacturing Companies in Pandemic: Comparative Analysis Of Bankruptcy Forecast
Buele Nugra, I. G., Inga Chichay, C. G. & Mejia Loza, J. T., 7 Mar 2024, In: Journal of Business Strategy Finance and Management. 6, 6, p. 1-21 21 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
-
Evolution of the Ecuadorian Industrial Sector and its Reputation under the Merco Index
Buele Nugra, I. G., Aucapiña Tigre, M. V. & Solano Gallegos, A. S., 26 Mar 2024, In: Open Science Journal. 9, 9, p. 1-13 13 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
Press/Media
-
Universidad Politecnica Salesiana Researcher Publishes New Study Findings on Epidemiology (Ecuadorian Manufacturing Companies in Pandemic: Comparative Analysis of Bankruptcy Forecast)
21/10/24
1 item of Media coverage
Press/Media: Press / Media