Personal profile
Research Interests
Across multiple projects, the researcher advances water-resource sustainability through (i) probabilistic sharp-estimation of peak water demand in institutional settings using high-resolution flow data and context-specific calibration; (ii) data-driven water quality assessment with limited variables via regression tree ensembles, highlighting fecal contamination indicators and field-friendly proxies; (iii) rural sanitation and fecal sludge management, designing pilot treatment systems aligned with community beliefs to maximize public health outcomes; (iv) hydrological modeling of micro- and macro-basins with GIS-enabled morphometry, rainfall estimation, and climate-change scenarios to inform resilient water-resource planning; and (v) proactive, equity-centered water-management frameworks that integrate physical, socioeconomic, and institutional variables to generate future scenarios and strategic governance plans. Methodologically, the work combines (a) temporal disaggregation and stochastic demand modeling, (b) random-forest regression and feature importance analysis for WQI estimation, (c) pilot-scale treatment design under socio-cultural constraints, (d) hydrological modeling (HEC-HMS, Thornthwaite balance, Thiessen polygons, IDF curves) and climate scenario projections (Hydro-BID), and (e) prospective basin analysis with system-variable prioritization. The impact lies in offering context-sensitive tools for peak-demand estimation, efficient monitoring, sustainable sanitation, and adaptive governance in the Global South, with explicit emphasis on community engagement, gender considerations, and scalable models for policy and practice.
Expertise related to UN Sustainable Development Goals
In 2015, UN member states agreed to 17 global Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to end poverty, protect the planet and ensure prosperity for all. This person’s work contributes towards the following SDG(s):
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SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being -
SDG 5 Gender Equality -
SDG 6 Clean Water and Sanitation -
SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy -
SDG 10 Reduced Inequalities -
SDG 12 Responsible Consumption and Production -
SDG 13 Climate Action -
SDG 15 Life on Land
Collaborations and top research areas from the last five years
Projects
- 2 Active
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Advanced Monitoring of Trihalomethane Compounds in Drinking Water Systems through Temporal and Spatial Analysis to Improve Water Resource Security
Duque Sarango, P. J. (PI), Mera Parra, C. P. (Col), Gutierrez Lopez, M. S. (Col), Cardenas Patiño, C. M. (Student), Pesantez Lozano, J. F. (Student) & Zabala Fernandez, A. A. (Student)
30/06/25 → …
Project: Research and Development
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Evaluation of Hydraulic Conductivity and Soil Parameters Against Anthropogenic Pressure and Climate Change
Duque Sarango, P. J. (Col), Montalvo Cedillo, C. A. (Col), Mera Parra, C. P. (PI), Gutierrez Lopez, M. S. (Col), Vasquez Pugo, A. D. (Student), Barbecho Serpa, A. E. (Student), Tenesaca Verdugo, G. A. (Student), Plaza Chavez, C. E. (Student), Mera Parra, P. D. (External), Medina Apolo, K. J. (Student) & Vallejo Madero, D. S. (Student)
18/12/24 → …
Project: Research and Development
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Empirical Recalibration of Hunter’s Method for Peak Flow Estimation in Institutional Buildings: A Pilot Study in Data-Scarce Contexts
Mera-Parra, C. & Benavides-Muñoz, H. M., Nov 2025, In: Water (Switzerland). 17, 22, p. 1-18 18 p., 3233.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
Open Access -
Hydrological Resilience in the Tarqui River Basin: Modeling Climate Change Scenarios Through Hydro-BID
Duque Sarango, P., León Olmedo, V., Hernández, B., Matovelle, C. & Mera Parra, C., 2025, Dynamic Evolution of Atmospheric, Ecological, and Hydrological Systems in Circum-Mediterranean Regions - Proceedings of the 3rd MedGU 2023 Volume 1. Zhang, Z., Chenchouni, H., Sarikaya, M. A., Ciner, A., Knight, J., Gentilucci, M. & Ali, I. (eds.). Springer Nature, p. 429-435 7 p. (Advances in Science, Technology and Innovation).Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review
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Regionalization of Precipitation and Estimation of Flash Flood Flows for Ungauged High Andean Basins
Avilés Montero, D., Mera Parra, C. & Duque Sarango, P., 2025, Dynamic Evolution of Atmospheric, Ecological, and Hydrological Systems in Circum-Mediterranean Regions - Proceedings of the 3rd MedGU 2023 Volume 1. Zhang, Z., Chenchouni, H., Sarikaya, M. A., Ciner, A., Knight, J., Gentilucci, M. & Ali, I. (eds.). Springer Nature, p. 391-396 6 p. (Advances in Science, Technology and Innovation).Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review
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Smart Waters: Harnessing Machine Learning to Predict Water Quality in a Tropical Andean Watershed
Duque-Sarango, P., Cárdenas, C., Crespo, B., Mera-Parra, C. & Cedillo, S., 2025, Systems, Smart Technologies, and Innovation for Society - Proceedings of CITIS 2024. Inga Ortega, E. M., Robles-Bykbaev, V. E., García Herranz, N. & Gallego Diaz, E. (eds.). Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, p. 261-270 10 p. (Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems; vol. 1331 LNNS).Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review
Open Access -
Aplicación del Hec-hms para la Modelación Hidrológica de la Microcuenca Captacay, Bvpa - Ecuador
Translated title of the contribution :Application of Hec-hms for Hydrological Modeling of the Captacay Microbasin, Bvpa - Ecuador Research output: Contribution to conference › Paper